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Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Lynn Haven Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12005001403 · Bay, FL · pop 2,041 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Lynn Haven

12005001403 is a census tract in Lynn Haven, FL. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 54%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 10% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units724
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate9.1%
Median income$80,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Lynn Haven
High
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 49 tracts In Bay
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#2,851 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#56,048 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn Haven and the region

Centroid at 30.2524, -85.6570 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lynn Haven scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynn Haven
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.1% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,347 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynn Haven
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynn Haven
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynn Haven
5.7

How Lynn Haven compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lynn Haven risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 0014034.0Lynn Havenparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 140Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 4.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2011)
  • 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2008 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12005001403
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lynn Haven

Cost burden runs 71% here against 54.8% across Bay County. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 140 evictions over 10 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,347, 14% below the Lynn Haven average.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 7.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Bay County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12005001403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12005001403?

Census tract 12005001403 in Lynn Haven scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12005001403?

Median gross rent is $1,347/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12005001403?

9.1% of residents in tract 12005001403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,041.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12005001403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 51th, minority 18th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12005001403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 140 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12005001403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.42% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12005001403 compare to Lynn Haven overall?

Tract 12005001403 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn Haven at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn Haven; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn Haven

Top eight tracts in Lynn Haven ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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