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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Golden Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12021010411 · Collier, FL · pop 8,083

Census tract 12021010411 covers part of Golden Gate, FL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 10% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,288
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$74,915

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Golden Gate
Very Low
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 108 tracts In Collier
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Golden Gate and the region

Centroid at 26.1778, -81.7006 · click any tract to drill in

Why Golden Gate scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Golden Gate
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,600 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Golden Gate
7.5

How Golden Gate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Golden Gate risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0104114.2Golden Gateparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Golden Gate

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.4% against 11.3% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 1.2 points above the Collier County average of 3.7.

Cost burden runs 58% here against 52.8% across Collier County. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 25% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,600, close to the Golden Gate average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $74,915.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12021010411

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010411?

Census tract 12021010411 in Golden Gate scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12021010411?

Median gross rent is $1,600/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010411?

13.4% of residents in tract 12021010411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,083.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010411?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 71th, minority 79th, housing 54th.
Q5

How does tract 12021010411 compare to Golden Gate overall?

Tract 12021010411 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Golden Gate at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Golden Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Golden Gate

Top eight tracts in Golden Gate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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