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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Golden Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12021010420 · Collier, FL · pop 7,506

Census tract 12021010420 covers part of Golden Gate, FL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,506. Cost burden runs about three-quarters here against 52.8% across Collier County.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 12% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,092
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$71,579

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Golden Gate
Low
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 108 tracts In Collier
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Golden Gate and the region

Centroid at 26.1920, -81.7058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Golden Gate scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Golden Gate
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,614 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Golden Gate
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Golden Gate
7.5

How Golden Gate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Golden Gate risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0104204.2Golden Gateparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Golden Gate

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 31.2% against 11.3% nationally.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.2 points above the Collier County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,614, close to the Golden Gate average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $71,579.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12021010420

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12021010420?

Census tract 12021010420 in Golden Gate scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12021010420?

Median gross rent is $1,614/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12021010420?

12.2% of residents in tract 12021010420 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,506.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12021010420?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 30th, minority 87th, housing 50th.
Q5

How does tract 12021010420 compare to Golden Gate overall?

Tract 12021010420 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Golden Gate at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Golden Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Golden Gate

Top eight tracts in Golden Gate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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