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Neptune Beach, Florida eviction risk overview
City brief · 7,168 residents

Neptune Beach, FL Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Duval County · Population 7,168

In 2026
Risk score
2.1
VERY LOW

30th percentile, Florida.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.4 Average2.0 Now2.1
3.0 1.4 1976 · score 2.4 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 1.9 1979 · score 1.8 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.6 1985 · score 1.5 1986 · score 1.4 1987 · score 1.4 1988 · score 1.4 1989 · score 1.5 1990 · score 1.5 1991 · score 1.6 1992 · score 1.9 1993 · score 1.9 1994 · score 1.9 1995 · score 1.8 1996 · score 2.1 1997 · score 2.1 1998 · score 2.1 1999 · score 2.1 2000 · score 2.0 2001 · score 2.1 2002 · score 2.1 2003 · score 2.0 2004 · score 1.9 2005 · score 1.7 2006 · score 1.7 2007 · score 1.7 2008 · score 2.2 2009 · score 2.4 2010 · score 2.5 2011 · score 2.5 2012 · score 2.3 2013 · score 2.3 2014 · score 2.3 2015 · score 2.2 2016 · score 2.2 2017 · score 2.2 2018 · score 2.2 2019 · score 2.2 2020 · score 3.0 2021 · score 2.8 2022 · score 2.3 2023 · score 2.3 2024 · score 2.2 2025 · score 2.1 2026 · score 2.1

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.7 Regional 5.7 State 1.5 Economic 2.9 Supply 7.2 Rent Control 5.5 Eviction 1.9 Tenant 6.1 Housing 3.8 2.1 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +1.5% (2024)
    5.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.7
  3. State political climate
    Florida legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    1.8% poverty · 1.8% unemp.
    2.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,763 average · 26.9% renters
    7.2
  6. Rent Control risk
    29.5% of income on rent
    5.5
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    28 days filing → judgment
    1.9
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    26.9% renters
    6.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    3.8
Geographic context

Risk heat across Neptune Beach and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Neptune Beach compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Duval County
Low
#4 of 5 cities
Rank in county, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 cities in Duval County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Florida
Low
#719 of 949 cities
Rank in state, 24th percentileLowHigh
#719 of 949 cities in Florida for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Neptune Beach risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Neptune Beach: 2.12.1Neptune BeachThis cityCounty: 2.52.5Countyavg in countyState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.1
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.1/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-0.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 28d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,763/mo. A contested eviction takes 28 days and costs $1,248–$3,326 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 26.9%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 7,168 residents, 26.9% rent. 30% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 1.8% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.7 and 5.7 (GOP margin +1.5% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.9, housing court bias 3.8, rent-control risk 5.5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.1 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 2.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 2.9. Supply constraint: 7.2. The numbers behind those: 1.8% poverty, 1.8% unemployment, 30% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Neptune Beach sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Jacksonville, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.5 Jacksonville Miami, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Miami Tampa, FL · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 2.7 Tampa Orlando, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.9 Orlando St. Petersburg, FL · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.7 St. Petersburg Port St. Lucie, FL · 27d · ~$2.1k all-in ($77/day) · score 2.5 Port St. Lucie Hialeah, FL · 30d · ~$2.3k all-in ($77/day) · score 2.9 Hialeah Cape Coral, FL · 25d · ~$2.2k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Cape Coral Tallahassee, FL · 30d · ~$2.5k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.9 Tallahassee Fort Lauderdale, FL · 30d · ~$2.4k all-in ($79/day) · score 2.9 Fort Lauderdale Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Neptune Beach
Neptune Beach · 28d · ~$2.3k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.1 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Neptune Beach, FL

Landlording in Neptune Beach, Florida, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.1/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Neptune Beach is a city of 7,168 residents where 26.9% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 29.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,763/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Neptune Beach eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.9/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Neptune Beach closes 28 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Neptune Beach's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 3.8/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Neptune Beach runs $1,248 to $3,326 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 28 days of typical timeline and $1,763/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.1/10 in Neptune Beach, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5.5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Florida, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Neptune Beach: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Florida's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,326 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Neptune Beach

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Compare Neptune Beach to neighboring cities in Duval County via the grid below. The 5.1/10 score is computed from nine sub-factors plus a state-law multiplier under FS Chapter 83 Part II. Duval County 2020 presidential margin: D+3.8. Cross-reference the state overview link in the guides section for Florida statutory detail.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 1,078 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.08× the historical baseline (near baseline). Past 12 months: 14,566 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 75,742.

  • 1,078Past month
  • 14,566Past 12 months
  • 1.08×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 6.3%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least three days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: $185 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 1,220 filings (1.01× hist)2023-06-01: 1,350 filings (1.09× hist)2023-07-01: 1,183 filings (0.95× hist)2023-08-01: 1,344 filings (1.04× hist)2023-09-01: 1,270 filings (1.04× hist)2023-10-01: 1,360 filings (1.08× hist)2023-11-01: 1,097 filings (1.10× hist)2023-12-01: 1,132 filings (1.05× hist)2024-01-01: 1,344 filings (1.02× hist)2024-02-01: 1,250 filings (0.91× hist)2024-03-01: 951 filings (0.86× hist)2024-04-01: 993 filings (1.00× hist)2024-05-01: 1,194 filings (0.99× hist)2024-06-01: 1,118 filings (0.91× hist)2024-07-01: 1,296 filings (1.05× hist)2024-08-01: 1,237 filings (0.96× hist)2024-09-01: 1,168 filings (0.96× hist)2024-10-01: 1,161 filings (0.92× hist)2024-11-01: 901 filings (0.90× hist)2024-12-01: 1,025 filings (0.95× hist)2025-01-01: 1,475 filings (1.12× hist)2025-02-01: 1,262 filings (0.95× hist)2025-03-01: 1,072 filings (0.97× hist)2025-04-01: 1,008 filings (1.01× hist)2025-05-01: 1,143 filings (0.95× hist)2025-06-01: 1,047 filings (0.85× hist)2025-07-01: 1,280 filings (1.03× hist)2025-08-01: 1,364 filings (1.06× hist)2025-09-01: 1,335 filings (1.10× hist)2025-10-01: 1,355 filings (1.07× hist)2025-11-01: 1,004 filings (1.01× hist)2025-12-01: 1,269 filings (1.18× hist)2026-01-01: 1,369 filings (1.04× hist)2026-02-01: 1,211 filings (0.91× hist)2026-03-01: 1,111 filings (1.00× hist)2026-04-01: 1,078 filings (1.08× hist)
Filings dropped 6% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Neptune Beach without cause?

Yes, for month-to-month tenancies, you can terminate without cause by giving a 15-day notice. For fixed-term leases, you generally need a lease violation (like non-payment) to evict, unless the lease specifically allows early termination under certain conditions.

Q2

What if my tenant pays part of the rent after I give them a 3-day notice?

Accepting a partial payment after issuing a 3-day notice for non-payment often voids that notice. You'd likely have to issue a new 3-day notice for the remaining balance. It's usually better to not accept partial payments unless you're prepared to restart the eviction process.

Q3

How long does an eviction really take in Neptune Beach?

The typical timeline is about 28 days from the initial notice to the sheriff's lockout. However, if the tenant contests the eviction, or there are legal issues, it can easily stretch to 45-60 days or more. Plan for the average, but be ready for delays.

Q4

Is there rent control in Neptune Beach, FL?

No, Florida has a statewide preemption against rent control. This means no city or county, including Neptune Beach, can enact rent control measures. Our rent-control-risk sub-score for Florida is 5.5/10, indicating a moderate risk of future changes, but currently, there are no restrictions. You can learn more about this at Florida rent control rules.

Q5

When should I hire an attorney for an eviction?

You can represent yourself in small claims court, but for an eviction, especially if it's contested or your first time, hiring an attorney is highly recommended. They ensure all legal requirements are met, speeding up the process and preventing costly mistakes. The cost of a lawyer often outweighs the cost of errors or delays.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.1/10 places Neptune Beach in the 30th percentile of Florida cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.