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Baldwin, Florida eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,298 residents

Baldwin, FL Eviction Risk: VERY LOW

Duval County · Population 1,298

In 2026
Risk score
2.3
VERY LOW

58th percentile, Florida.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average2.1 Now2.3
3.0 1.5 1976 · score 2.4 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 2.0 1979 · score 1.9 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.6 1986 · score 1.5 1987 · score 1.5 1988 · score 1.5 1989 · score 1.6 1990 · score 1.6 1991 · score 1.7 1992 · score 2.0 1993 · score 2.0 1994 · score 2.0 1995 · score 1.9 1996 · score 2.2 1997 · score 2.2 1998 · score 2.2 1999 · score 2.2 2000 · score 2.2 2001 · score 2.2 2002 · score 2.2 2003 · score 2.1 2004 · score 2.0 2005 · score 1.9 2006 · score 1.8 2007 · score 1.8 2008 · score 2.3 2009 · score 2.6 2010 · score 2.6 2011 · score 2.6 2012 · score 2.5 2013 · score 2.4 2014 · score 2.4 2015 · score 2.3 2016 · score 2.3 2017 · score 2.2 2018 · score 2.2 2019 · score 2.2 2020 · score 3.0 2021 · score 2.8 2022 · score 2.3 2023 · score 2.3 2024 · score 2.4 2025 · score 2.4 2026 · score 2.3

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 5.7 Regional 5.7 State 1.5 Economic 6.4 Supply 4.8 Rent Control 3.4 Eviction 1.1 Tenant 8.4 Housing 4.2 2.3 VERY LOW
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +1.5% (2024)
    5.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    5.7
  3. State political climate
    Florida legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    9.3% poverty · 7.0% unemp.
    6.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $545 average · 42.1% renters
    4.8
  6. Rent Control risk
    24.9% of income on rent
    3.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    25 days filing → judgment
    1.1
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    42.1% renters
    8.4
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.2
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baldwin and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Baldwin compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Duval County
High
#2 of 5 cities
Rank in county, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 cities in Duval County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Florida
Elevated
#401 of 949 cities
Rank in state, 58th percentileLowHigh
#401 of 949 cities in Florida for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Baldwin risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Baldwin: 2.32.3BaldwinThis cityCounty: 2.52.5Countyavg in countyState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 2.3
    / 10 · VERY LOW
    The verdict

    A Very low-tier market.

    Composite 2.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend-0.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 25d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $545/mo. A contested eviction takes 25 days and costs $1,082–$3,509 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 42.1%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,298 residents, 42.1% rent. 25% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 9.3% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 5.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 5.7 and 5.7 (GOP margin +1.5% (2024)). State climate at 1.5, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.1, housing court bias 4.2, rent-control risk 3.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.4. Supply constraint: 4.8. The numbers behind those: 9.3% poverty, 7.0% unemployment, 25% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Baldwin sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Jacksonville, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.5 Jacksonville Gainesville, FL · 27d · ~$2.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.9 Gainesville Miami, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($81/day) · score 3.1 Miami Tampa, FL · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 2.7 Tampa Orlando, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.9 Orlando St. Petersburg, FL · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 2.7 St. Petersburg Port St. Lucie, FL · 27d · ~$2.1k all-in ($77/day) · score 2.5 Port St. Lucie Hialeah, FL · 30d · ~$2.3k all-in ($77/day) · score 2.9 Hialeah Cape Coral, FL · 25d · ~$2.2k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Cape Coral Tallahassee, FL · 30d · ~$2.5k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.9 Tallahassee Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Baldwin
Baldwin · 25d · ~$2.3k all-in ($92/day) · score 2.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Baldwin, FL

Landlording in Baldwin, Florida, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 2.3/10 (VERY LOW tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Baldwin is a city of 1,298 residents where 42.1% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 24.9% of income on rent. At an average rent of $545/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Baldwin eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.1/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Baldwin closes 25 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Baldwin's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.2/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Baldwin runs $1,082 to $3,509 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 25 days of typical timeline and $545/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 8.4/10 in Baldwin, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Florida, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Baldwin: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY LOW tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Florida's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,509 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Baldwin

Trap · 9.3%
Local poverty rate is 9.3%, and the rent-burden distribution skews the eviction-filings curve toward moderate volume in Duval County. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 3.4/10. Tenant organizing is most active in the rental concentration corridors.
04Eviction filings

Live filings tracking · Eviction Lab

Princeton Eviction Lab Tracking System, county-level. Last update 2026-05-01.

In the most recent month, 1,078 eviction cases were filed across the tracker's coverage area, 1.08× the historical baseline (near baseline). Past 12 months: 14,566 filings. Pandemic-era cumulative: 75,742.

  • 1,078Past month
  • 14,566Past 12 months
  • 1.08×vs baseline (past mo)
  • 6.3%Repeat-tenant filings
Notice requirement: at least three days notice (in some cases more). Filing fee: $185 filing fee.
Last 36 months of filings 2023-05-01 – 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings (Eviction Lab tracker)2023-05-01: 1,220 filings (1.01× hist)2023-06-01: 1,350 filings (1.09× hist)2023-07-01: 1,183 filings (0.95× hist)2023-08-01: 1,344 filings (1.04× hist)2023-09-01: 1,270 filings (1.04× hist)2023-10-01: 1,360 filings (1.08× hist)2023-11-01: 1,097 filings (1.10× hist)2023-12-01: 1,132 filings (1.05× hist)2024-01-01: 1,344 filings (1.02× hist)2024-02-01: 1,250 filings (0.91× hist)2024-03-01: 951 filings (0.86× hist)2024-04-01: 993 filings (1.00× hist)2024-05-01: 1,194 filings (0.99× hist)2024-06-01: 1,118 filings (0.91× hist)2024-07-01: 1,296 filings (1.05× hist)2024-08-01: 1,237 filings (0.96× hist)2024-09-01: 1,168 filings (0.96× hist)2024-10-01: 1,161 filings (0.92× hist)2024-11-01: 901 filings (0.90× hist)2024-12-01: 1,025 filings (0.95× hist)2025-01-01: 1,475 filings (1.12× hist)2025-02-01: 1,262 filings (0.95× hist)2025-03-01: 1,072 filings (0.97× hist)2025-04-01: 1,008 filings (1.01× hist)2025-05-01: 1,143 filings (0.95× hist)2025-06-01: 1,047 filings (0.85× hist)2025-07-01: 1,280 filings (1.03× hist)2025-08-01: 1,364 filings (1.06× hist)2025-09-01: 1,335 filings (1.10× hist)2025-10-01: 1,355 filings (1.07× hist)2025-11-01: 1,004 filings (1.01× hist)2025-12-01: 1,269 filings (1.18× hist)2026-01-01: 1,369 filings (1.04× hist)2026-02-01: 1,211 filings (0.91× hist)2026-03-01: 1,111 filings (1.00× hist)2026-04-01: 1,078 filings (1.08× hist)
Filings dropped 6% over the past 12 months.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Baldwin for being a nuisance?

Yes, if the lease agreement defines nuisance behavior as a violation. For lease violations other than non-payment, you typically need to provide a 7-day notice to cure the violation or quit. If they don't fix the issue within 7 days, you can proceed with an eviction filing.

Q2

How long does it take for the Sheriff to remove a tenant after a Writ of Possession is issued?

Once the Writ of Possession is issued by the court and you deliver it to the Duval County Sheriff's office, they will typically post a 24-hour notice on the tenant's door within a few business days. After that 24 hours, the Sheriff will return to oversee the lockout. The exact timing can depend on the Sheriff's schedule.

Q3

Do I need to give a reason to not renew a lease in Baldwin?

No, Florida does not have a statewide just-cause eviction requirement. If a fixed-term lease is expiring, you are not generally required to provide a reason for non-renewal, as long as you provide proper notice (typically 15 days for month-to-month, or as specified in the lease for longer terms) before the lease ends.

Q4

Can I turn off utilities if a tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely not. Florida law strictly prohibits landlords from turning off utilities, changing locks, or otherwise attempting to self-help evict a tenant. Doing so can result in significant penalties, including paying the tenant actual damages, statutory damages, and attorney's fees. Always follow the proper legal eviction process.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 2.3/10 places Baldwin in the 58th percentile of Florida cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.