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Census Tract · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Neptune Beach Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12031014001 · Duval, FL · pop 4,213

The Moderate-tier score of $1/10 for census tract 12031014001 reflects conditions in Neptune Beach, Florida. On the national scale it ranks #50,723 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,450 monthly, set against $104,409 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 22% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,192
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$104,409

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Neptune Beach
Very High
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#212 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#4,659 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#76,223 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Neptune Beach and the region

Centroid at 30.3160, -81.3994 · click any tract to drill in

Why Neptune Beach scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Neptune Beach
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,450 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Neptune Beach
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Neptune Beach
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Neptune Beach
3.8

How Neptune Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Neptune Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 014001Neptune Beach: 2.12.1Neptune Beachparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 271Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 3.06%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.2%Peak (2007)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310140012002: 39 filings (4.40/100 renter HHs)2007: 41 filings (4.20/100 renter HHs)2009: 29 filings (2.97/100 renter HHs)2010: 21 filings (1.97/100 renter HHs)2011: 31 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 34 filings (4.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (2.54/100 renter HHs)2014: 22 filings (2.66/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 78Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 2 filings (1.43× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (0.63× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-03-01: 4 filings (3.33× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (2.14× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (1.43× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.42× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 6 filings (4.29× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (1.25× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.56× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Neptune Beach

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Neptune Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.61x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031014001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014001?

Census tract 12031014001 in Neptune Beach scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031014001?

Median gross rent is $1,450/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014001?

2.9% of residents in tract 12031014001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,213.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 15th, minority 17th, housing 20th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 271 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.06% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031014001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031014001 compare to Neptune Beach overall?

Tract 12031014001 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Neptune Beach at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Neptune Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Neptune Beach

Top eight tracts in Neptune Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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