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Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Neptune Beach Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12031014002 · Duval, FL · pop 2,530

Neptune Beach is where census tract 12031014002 sits, home to 2,530 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.3/10. It lands near the 51st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,645 a month against an average household income of $118,602 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,091
Renter share10.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate0.0%
Median income$118,602

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Neptune Beach
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#215 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#4,816 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#78,212 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Neptune Beach and the region

Centroid at 30.3182, -81.4249 · click any tract to drill in

Why Neptune Beach scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Neptune Beach
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,645 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Neptune Beach
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Neptune Beach
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Neptune Beach
3.8

How Neptune Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Neptune Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 014002Neptune Beach: 2.12.1Neptune Beachparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 41Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 1.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2010)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310140022002: 5 filings (1.42/100 renter HHs)2007: 4 filings (1.06/100 renter HHs)2009: 6 filings (1.59/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (3.59/100 renter HHs)2011: 1 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 5 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.17/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (2.34/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (1.75/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (2.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 24Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.18×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (1.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (2.50× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Neptune Beach

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Neptune Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 41 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 1.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.6% of renter households in 2010.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031014002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014002?

Census tract 12031014002 in Neptune Beach scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031014002?

Median gross rent is $1,645/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014002?

0.0% of residents in tract 12031014002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,530.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 11th, minority 9th, housing 2th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031014002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 41 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031014002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.87% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031014002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.18× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031014002 compare to Neptune Beach overall?

Tract 12031014002 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Neptune Beach at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Neptune Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Neptune Beach

Top eight tracts in Neptune Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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