Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
The Park at Nottingham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Myrtle Grove
Tract 12033002802 · Escambia, FL · pop 5,248 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 12033002802 in the The Park at Nottingham area of Myrtle Grove, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,237
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$73,741
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Myrtle Grove and the region
Centroid at 30.4093, -87.3056 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Park at Nottingham scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,302 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Myrtle Grove
6.5
How The Park at Nottingham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 189Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2007)
- 36Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Park at Nottingham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Park at Nottingham
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 39% here against 47.1% across Escambia County.
11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 189 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 9.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12033002802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12033002802?
Census tract 12033002802 in the The Park at Nottingham neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12033002802?
Median gross rent is $1,302/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12033002802?
18.8% of residents in tract 12033002802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,248.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12033002802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 57th, minority 61th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 12033002802 considered part of The Park at Nottingham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12033002802 fall within The Park at Nottingham (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12033002802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12033002802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.43% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12033002802 compare to Myrtle Grove overall?
Tract 12033002802 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Myrtle Grove at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Myrtle Grove; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Myrtle Grove
Top eight tracts in Myrtle Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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