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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Northdale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12057011514 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 6,855

With a score of 3/10, tract 12057011514 in Northdale, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,855. Cost burden runs 36% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 7% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,383
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$112,127

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Northdale
Very Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#317 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northdale and the region

Centroid at 28.1026, -82.5299 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northdale scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0

How Northdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northdale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0115144.0Northdaleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 106Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak (2005)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057011514
Filings climbed 600% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 41Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northdale

Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.4/10. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. The filing record is not thin: 106 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2005 at 8.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011514

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011514?

Census tract 12057011514 in Northdale scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011514?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011514?

5.6% of residents in tract 12057011514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,855.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011514?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 51th, minority 63th, housing 7th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011514?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011514 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011514 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057011514 compare to Northdale overall?

Tract 12057011514 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Northdale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northdale

Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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