Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Northdale Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12057011524 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,959
Tract 12057011524 sits in Northdale, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Severe burden reaches 44%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,163
Renter share69.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$54,232
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
National
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.1031, -82.5086 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northdale scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,651 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Northdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,084Total filings over 11 yrs
- 7.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.1%Peak (2002)
- 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 48% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 412Total filings 2020-21
- 5.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northdale
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, around two-thirds of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $54,232, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,084 filings here across 11 tracked years. Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. The worst year on record was 2002, when 13.1% of renter households were served.
At $1,651 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Northdale commands. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011524
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011524?
Census tract 12057011524 in Northdale scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011524?
Median gross rent is $1,651/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011524?
16.3% of residents in tract 12057011524 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,959.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011524?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 54th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011524?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,084 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011524 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.90% of renter households, peaking at 13.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011524 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057011524 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011524 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Northdale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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