Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Northdale Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057011515 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,277
With a score of 3/10, tract 12057011515 in Northdale, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,277. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$104,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.0913, -82.5280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northdale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Northdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2002)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 36Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northdale
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 78 filings here across 11 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2002, when 11.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011515
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011515?
Census tract 12057011515 in Northdale scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011515?
1.4% of residents in tract 12057011515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,277.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011515?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 65th, minority 67th, housing 8th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011515?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011515 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.84% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011515 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 12057011515 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011515 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Northdale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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