Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Armistead Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Northdale
Tract 12057011512 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,241 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
12057011512 is a census tract in the Armistead Manor area of Northdale, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 72% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share10.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$137,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.1111, -82.5544 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armistead Manor scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,605 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Armistead Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 79%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 25Total filings over 9 yrs
- 2.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2002)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 17Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armistead Manor
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. 10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 25 filings here across 9 tracked years. At $1,605 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Northdale commands. The worst year on record was 2002, when 6.9% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.
Against average income of $137,056, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011512
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011512?
Census tract 12057011512 in the Armistead Manor neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011512?
Median gross rent is $1,605/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011512?
2.6% of residents in tract 12057011512 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,241.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011512?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 79th, minority 38th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011512 considered part of Armistead Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011512 fall within Armistead Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011512?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 25 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12057011512 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.95% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011512 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011512 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011512 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Northdale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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