Neighborhood · Northdale, FL

Armistead Manor Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,241 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.2/10 · range 1.2–1.2

Armistead Manor is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Northdale with 1 census tract and a population of 4,241 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 72% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,605/month sits 11% lower than the Northdale citywide average ($1,797).

Risk score

1.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Armistead Manor vs Northdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

71.6% +72%

Northdale: 41.6%

Average gross rent

$1,605 -11%

Northdale: $1,797

Average HH income

$137,056 +50%

Northdale: $91,656

Poverty rate

2.6% -59%

Northdale: 6.3%

Renter share

10.8% -60%

Northdale: 27.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Armistead Manor and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.2–1.2

Why Armistead Manor scores 1.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

72% of income on rent · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

11% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Economic stress

2.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Risk score comparison

Armistead Manor vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Armistead Manor

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057011512	1.2	4,241	72%	$1,605

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 17

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 12%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 79%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 8%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Armistead Manor

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

25Total filings (sum)
2.95%Avg annual filing rate
6.9%Peak year (2002)
1.10%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

17Total filings 2020-21
0.2Avg monthly observed
0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
1.42×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Armistead Manor

What is the eviction-risk score for Armistead Manor?

Armistead Manor scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Armistead Manor compare to Northdale overall?

Armistead Manor scores 0.9 points lower than Northdale overall (2.1/10). Renters spend 72% of income on rent vs 42% citywide. Average rent: $1,605 vs $1,797.

What is the average rent in Armistead Manor?

Average gross rent in Armistead Manor is $1,605/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Armistead Manor residents are renters?

11% of Armistead Manor households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Northdale). The neighborhood has 4,241 residents.

Is Armistead Manor a high social-vulnerability area?

Armistead Manor sits in the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Armistead Manor for landlords?

Armistead Manor carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Northdale as a whole (2.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Armistead Manor?

Armistead Manor has 4,376 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Armistead Manor

2.3 Reflections 2 tracts · pop 6,963 2.4 Carrollwood Village 4 tracts · pop 15,279 2.4 Arlington 4 tracts · pop 12,496 2.6 All Bright Shores 3 tracts · pop 11,434 4 Armenia Heights 5 tracts · pop 21,968 2.9 Angelina Pines 2 tracts · pop 9,058

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Northdale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Armistead Manor.

2.1 Turtle Creek 1 tracts · pop 2,276 2.9 Lakeview at Calusa Trace 1 tracts · pop 6

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