Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
Northdale Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057011514 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 6,855
Northdale is where census tract 12057011514 sits, home to 6,855 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #56,607 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,691 a month against an average household income of $112,127 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units2,383
Renter share11.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$112,127
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
8
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
National
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.1026, -82.5299 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northdale scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Northdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 11 yrs
- 4.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2005)
- 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 600% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 41Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northdale
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011514
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011514?
Census tract 12057011514 in Northdale scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011514?
Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011514?
5.6% of residents in tract 12057011514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,855.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011514?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 51th, minority 63th, housing 7th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011514?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011514 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.29% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011514 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057011514 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011514 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Northdale at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related