Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
Northdale Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12057011515 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,277
Eviction risk in Northdale in Hillsborough County centers on tract 12057011515, which scores $1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,277 residents. On the national scale it ranks #50,748 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $104,500 a year. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,482
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$104,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
National
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Northdale and the region
Centroid at 28.0913, -82.5280 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northdale scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Northdale
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northdale
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northdale
6.0
How Northdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 23
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2002)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 36Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northdale
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.33x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 78 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.4% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011515
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011515?
Census tract 12057011515 in Northdale scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011515?
1.4% of residents in tract 12057011515 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,277.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011515?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 65th, minority 67th, housing 8th.
Q4
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011515?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011515 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.84% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011515 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 12057011515 compare to Northdale overall?
Tract 12057011515 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Northdale at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Northdale
Top eight tracts in Northdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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