Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Copeland Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Citrus Park
Tract 12057011410 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 6,570 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 12057011410 sits in the Copeland Creek area of Citrus Park, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 6,570. 27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,571
Renter share19.8%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$109,323
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Citrus Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0965, -82.5626 · click any tract to drill in
Why Copeland Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Citrus Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,148 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Citrus Park
6.7
How Copeland Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 56%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 110Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.23%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.1%Peak (2015)
- 16Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 129% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 95Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Copeland Creek
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 61% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 110 filings here across 11 tracked years. Average gross rent is $2,148, 14% above the Citrus Park average. Filings peaked in 2015 at 11.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011410
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011410?
Census tract 12057011410 in the Copeland Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011410?
Median gross rent is $2,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011410?
6.1% of residents in tract 12057011410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,570.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 56th, minority 60th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011410 considered part of Copeland Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011410 fall within Copeland Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011410?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 110 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.23% of renter households, peaking at 11.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011410 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011410 compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tract 12057011410 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Citrus Park at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Citrus Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Citrus Park
Top eight tracts in Citrus Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related