Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Rose Harbor Eviction Risk: Lower , Citrus Park
Tract 12057011412 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,184 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 12057011412 covers the Rose Harbor neighborhood of Citrus Park in Florida. Home to 3,184 residents, it scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 62% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,575 a month against an average household income of $66,875 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,427
Renter share49.6%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$66,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Citrus Park and the region
Centroid at 28.0592, -82.5762 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rose Harbor scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Citrus Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,575 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Citrus Park
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Citrus Park
6.7
How Rose Harbor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 327Total filings over 11 yrs
- 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2010)
- 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 28% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 68Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rose Harbor
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Citrus Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.57x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 327 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2010.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011412?
Census tract 12057011412 in the Rose Harbor neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011412?
Median gross rent is $1,575/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011412?
14.5% of residents in tract 12057011412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,184.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 46th, minority 77th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011412 considered part of Rose Harbor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011412 fall within Rose Harbor (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 327 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011412 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011412 compare to Citrus Park overall?
Tract 12057011412 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Citrus Park at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Citrus Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Citrus Park
Top eight tracts in Citrus Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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