Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12057012402 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,079 · 42% of tract blocks fall in Dover
Census tract 12057012402 covers Dover, home to 3,079 residents. For landlords it grades 5.4/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 26% of renter households, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,229 monthly, set against $66,786 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units848
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$66,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
79
th percentile
High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 27.9737, -82.2128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
9.5
How Dover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 11 yrs
- 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2015)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 125% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 33Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dover, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 58 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.7% of renter households in 2015.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057012402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012402?
Census tract 12057012402 in Dover scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057012402?
Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012402?
21.2% of residents in tract 12057012402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,079.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 42th, minority 70th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057012402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057012402 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 12057012402 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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