Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Dover Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12057012402 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,079 · 42% of tract blocks fall in Dover
Tract 12057012402 sits in Dover, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 3,079 residents. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units848
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$66,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dover and the region
Centroid at 27.9737, -82.2128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dover scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dover
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dover
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dover
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dover
9.5
How Dover compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 58Total filings over 11 yrs
- 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.7%Peak (2015)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 125% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 33Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dover
At $1,229 a month, rents run 43% over what the rest of Dover commands. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.7% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10.
14% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.3 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 58 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057012402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012402?
Census tract 12057012402 in Dover scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057012402?
Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012402?
21.2% of residents in tract 12057012402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,079.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 42th, minority 70th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 58 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 5.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12057012402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12057012402 compare to Dover overall?
Tract 12057012402 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dover at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dover; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dover
Top eight tracts in Dover ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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