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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Gordon Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Plant City

Tract 12057012800 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,737 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

Tract 12057012800 sits in the Gordon Oaks area of Plant City, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. Population here is 3,737. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 9% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$62,737

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Gordon Oaks
Moderate
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Plant City
Moderate
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#165 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,028 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Plant City and the region

Centroid at 28.0286, -82.1156 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gordon Oaks scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Plant City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,632 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Plant City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Plant City
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Plant City
2.8

How Gordon Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gordon Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0128003.4Plant Cityparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.0%Peak (2016)
  • 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057012800
Filings climbed 64% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 75Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gordon Oaks

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Cost burden runs 64% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,632 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Plant City commands.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.9% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 122 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.

Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $62,737. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057012800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057012800?

Census tract 12057012800 in the Gordon Oaks neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057012800?

Median gross rent is $1,632/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057012800?

15.7% of residents in tract 12057012800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,737.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057012800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 60th, minority 61th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 12057012800 considered part of Gordon Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057012800 fall within Gordon Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057012800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057012800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.84% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057012800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057012800 compare to Plant City overall?

Tract 12057012800 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Plant City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Plant City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Plant City

Top eight tracts in Plant City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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