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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Trapnell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Plant City

Tract 12057013002 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,566 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 12057013002 covers part of the Trapnell area of Plant City, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,566 residents. Cost burden runs 27% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 19% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,723
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$62,631

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Trapnell
Moderate
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In Plant City
High
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#103 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Plant City and the region

Centroid at 27.9780, -82.0957 · click any tract to drill in

Why Trapnell scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Plant City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,123 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Plant City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Plant City
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Plant City
2.8

How Trapnell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Trapnell risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0130023.4Plant Cityparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 166Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2003)
  • 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013002
Filings climbed 156% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 139Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Trapnell

Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 24.0% against 11.3% nationally.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $1,123 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Plant City commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 166 filings here across 11 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 6.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.9/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013002?

Census tract 12057013002 in the Trapnell neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013002?

Median gross rent is $1,123/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013002?

27.4% of residents in tract 12057013002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,566.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 64th, minority 70th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013002 considered part of Trapnell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013002 fall within Trapnell (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.77% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013002 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013002 compare to Plant City overall?

Tract 12057013002 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Plant City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Plant City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Plant City

Top eight tracts in Plant City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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