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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Terry Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Plant City

Tract 12057013001 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,029 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 12057013001 runs through the Terry Park area of Plant City. With 4,029 residents, it scores $1/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 13% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 28% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,384 a month while the average household earns $71,786 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 28% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,246
Renter share39.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate16.7%
Median income$71,786

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Terry Park
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 16 tracts In Plant City
Moderate
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#156 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,057 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Plant City and the region

Centroid at 28.0126, -82.0889 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terry Park scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Plant City
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.7% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,384 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Plant City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Plant City
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Plant City
2.8

How Terry Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terry Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 013001Plant City: 2.32.3Plant Cityparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 478Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 16.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak (2016)
  • 79Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570130012000: 22 filings (13.92/100 renter HHs)2001: 35 filings (22.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 54 filings (34.16/100 renter HHs)2003: 46 filings (29.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 46 filings (29.10/100 renter HHs)2005: 30 filings (6.75/100 renter HHs)2009: 29 filings (6.53/100 renter HHs)2010: 46 filings (9.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 35 filings (6.24/100 renter HHs)2015: 56 filings (9.98/100 renter HHs)2016: 79 filings (11.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 259% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 252Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (1.05× baseline)2020-03-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 7 filings (0.90× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (0.94× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (0.64× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.30× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (0.26× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (1.27× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (1.78× baseline)2022-06-01: 9 filings (1.64× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (0.44× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.13× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (0.43× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2023-01-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-05-01: 8 filings (3.56× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (0.55× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (0.59× baseline)2023-09-01: 11 filings (1.42× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (1.18× baseline)2023-11-01: 5 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2024-01-01: 5 filings (0.91× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (1.26× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2024-07-01: 10 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (1.19× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (0.39× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (1.41× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.14× baseline)2024-12-01: 6 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-02-01: 12 filings (2.53× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.18× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (0.48× baseline)2025-08-01: 5 filings (0.74× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (0.52× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 10 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (2.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terry Park

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Plant City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 84th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013001?

Census tract 12057013001 in the Terry Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013001?

Median gross rent is $1,384/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013001?

16.7% of residents in tract 12057013001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,029.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 83th, minority 65th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013001 considered part of Terry Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013001 fall within Terry Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013001?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 478 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013001 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.21% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013001 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013001 compare to Plant City overall?

Tract 12057013001 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Plant City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Plant City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Plant City

Top eight tracts in Plant City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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