Ventura Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon
Tract 12057013706 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,048 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12057013706 covers part of the Ventura Bay area of Riverview, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,048. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.8965, -82.3436 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ventura Bay scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Ventura Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 159Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ventura Bay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Ventura Bay
96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.
Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $51,536, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, economic stress reads 7.8/10.
Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Average gross rent is $1,629, 19% below the Riverview average. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.6% against 11.3% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12057013706
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013706?
What is the average rent in tract 12057013706?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013706?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013706?
Is tract 12057013706 considered part of Ventura Bay?
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013706 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12057013706 compare to Brandon overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.