2 census tracts · pop 9,198 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 4–4.7
Ventura Bay is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Brandon with 2 census tracts and a population of 9,198 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 51% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 26% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,750/month sits 2% lower than the Brandon citywide average ($1,784).
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Ventura Bay vs BrandonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Ventura Bay
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
239Total filings (sum)
3.44%Avg annual filing rate
4.2%Peak year (2010)
2.26%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
560Total filings 2020-21
4.4Avg monthly observed
4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.92×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Ventura Bay
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Ventura Bay?
Ventura Bay scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Ventura Bay compare to Brandon overall?
Ventura Bay scores 1.8 points higher than Brandon overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,750 vs $1,784.
Q3
What is the average rent in Ventura Bay?
Average gross rent in Ventura Bay is $1,750/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Ventura Bay residents are renters?
72% of Ventura Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 9,198 residents.
Q5
Is Ventura Bay a high social-vulnerability area?
Ventura Bay sits in the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Ventura Bay have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Ventura Bay is census tract 12057013706 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.7, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Ventura Bay for landlords?
Ventura Bay carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Ventura Bay?
Ventura Bay has 9,071 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.2%), Hispanic / Latino (27.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
