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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Bloomingdale

Tract 12057013411 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 3,303 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

12057013411 is a census tract in the Winthrop Village area of Riverview, FL. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,303 residents. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,386
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$79,087

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Winthrop Village
Very Low
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 16 tracts In Bloomingdale
Moderate
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#234 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#3,381 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bloomingdale and the region

Centroid at 27.8867, -82.3099 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Village scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bloomingdale
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,151 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bloomingdale
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bloomingdale
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bloomingdale
6.0

How Winthrop Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0134114.0Bloomingdaleparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 116Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak (2009)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013411
Filings dropped 25% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 57Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winthrop Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Village

At $1,151 a month, rents run 43% under what the rest of Riverview commands. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. It sits 1.0 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

The filing record is not thin: 116 evictions over 11 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2009, when 3.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $79,087, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013411

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013411?

Census tract 12057013411 in the Winthrop Village neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013411?

Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013411?

4.4% of residents in tract 12057013411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,303.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013411?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 84th, minority 48th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013411 considered part of Winthrop Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013411 fall within Winthrop Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013411?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 116 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.4% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013411 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013411 compare to Bloomingdale overall?

Tract 12057013411 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bloomingdale at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bloomingdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bloomingdale

Top eight tracts in Bloomingdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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