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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Winthrop Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Bloomingdale

Tract 12057013406 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,373 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 12057013406 sits in the Winthrop Village area of Bloomingdale, Florida eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It lands near the 69th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,140 monthly, set against $57,661 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 20% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units438
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$57,661

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Winthrop Village
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Bloomingdale
Very High
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#1,782 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bloomingdale and the region

Centroid at 27.8877, -82.3001 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winthrop Village scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bloomingdale
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bloomingdale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bloomingdale
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bloomingdale
6.5

How Winthrop Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winthrop Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 013406Bloomingdale: 2.52.5Bloomingdaleparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 84Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 5.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.5%Peak (2005)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120570134062000: 3 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2001: 7 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (3.67/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2005: 13 filings (13.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 7 filings (7.28/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (6.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (4.37/100 renter HHs)2016: 8 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 167% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 34Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Winthrop Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winthrop Village

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bloomingdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 84 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 5.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.5% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013406

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013406?

Census tract 12057013406 in the Winthrop Village neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013406?

Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013406?

23.7% of residents in tract 12057013406 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,373.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013406?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 77th, minority 63th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 12057013406 considered part of Winthrop Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013406 fall within Winthrop Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013406?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013406 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.80% of renter households, peaking at 13.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013406 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057013406 compare to Bloomingdale overall?

Tract 12057013406 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Bloomingdale at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bloomingdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bloomingdale

Top eight tracts in Bloomingdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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