Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Winthrop Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brandon
Tract 12057013410 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,392 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 12057013410 covers part of the Winthrop area of Riverview, FL, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 53%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,800
Renter share45.6%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$71,673
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.8838, -82.3222 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winthrop scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,613 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
5.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.0
How Winthrop compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 935Total filings over 11 yrs
- 20.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 47.5%Peak (2004)
- 65Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 41% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 347Total filings 2020-21
- 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Winthrop. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winthrop
71% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $1,613 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Riverview commands. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 935 filings here across 11 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 47.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 20.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $71,673.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013410
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013410?
Census tract 12057013410 in the Winthrop neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013410?
Median gross rent is $1,613/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013410?
17.4% of residents in tract 12057013410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,392.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 63th, minority 75th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013410 considered part of Winthrop?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013410 fall within Winthrop (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013410?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 935 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.69% of renter households, peaking at 47.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013410 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013410 compare to Brandon overall?
Tract 12057013410 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alafia Oaks
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Colonial Hills
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Boyette Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Alafia Cove
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Winthrop Village
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Colonial Hills
3
/ 10 · Low
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