2 census tracts · pop 11,574 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10
· range 3.9–4.7
Winthrop spans 2 census tracts of Brandon, FL and houses 11,574 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Brandon baseline of 33.4%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.
Filings are well documented here: 1,684 across 2 observed tracts. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10. The worst year on record was 2010, when filings touched 47.5% of renter households.
The most recent observed rate, 6.2% in 2016, is well off that peak. Average gross rent is $1,669, 6% below the Brandon average of $1,784.
Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Brandon, it ranks #10 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Brentwood Hills and Alexandria Place. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Winthrop vs BrandonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Winthrop
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,684Total filings (sum)
12.82%Avg annual filing rate
47.5%Peak year (2010)
5.98%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
875Total filings 2020-21
6.3Avg monthly observed
6.0Pre-pandemic baseline
1.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Winthrop
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Winthrop?
Winthrop scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Winthrop compare to Brandon overall?
Winthrop scores 0.1 points lower than Brandon overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,669 vs $1,784.
Q3
What is the average rent in Winthrop?
Average gross rent in Winthrop is $1,669/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Winthrop residents are renters?
51% of Winthrop households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 11,574 residents.
Q5
Is Winthrop a high social-vulnerability area?
Winthrop sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Winthrop have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Winthrop is census tract 12057013410 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.7, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Winthrop for landlords?
Winthrop carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Winthrop?
Winthrop has 10,778 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (42.1%), Hispanic / Latino (36.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
