Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Winthrop Eviction Risk: Lower , Brandon
Tract 12057013322 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 7,182 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12057013322 is a census tract in the Winthrop area of Brandon, FL. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,182 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,776
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$81,217
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.9003, -82.3047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winthrop scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,704 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6
How Winthrop compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 749Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2010)
- 85Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 528Total filings 2020-21
- 7.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Winthrop. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winthrop
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 46% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. Court records carry 749 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 6.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $1,704, close to the Brandon average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013322
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013322?
Census tract 12057013322 in the Winthrop neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013322?
Median gross rent is $1,704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013322?
9.6% of residents in tract 12057013322 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,182.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013322?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 71th, minority 68th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013322 considered part of Winthrop?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013322 fall within Winthrop (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013322?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 749 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013322 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.02% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013322 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013322 compare to Brandon overall?
Tract 12057013322 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Brandon at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Sixmile Creek
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Allendale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Sterling Ranch
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mariposa
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Allendale
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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