Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Winthrop Eviction Risk: Lower , Brandon
Tract 12057013322 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 7,182 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12057013322 (the Winthrop area of Brandon, Florida) comes in at 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 54% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,704 monthly, set against $81,217 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units2,776
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$81,217
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
36
th percentile
Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brandon and the region
Centroid at 27.9003, -82.3047 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winthrop scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brandon
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,704 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brandon
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brandon
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brandon
6.6
How Winthrop compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 749Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.5%Peak (2010)
- 85Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 60% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 528Total filings 2020-21
- 7.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Winthrop. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winthrop
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brandon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 749 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2010.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057013322
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013322?
Census tract 12057013322 in the Winthrop neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057013322?
Median gross rent is $1,704/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013322?
9.6% of residents in tract 12057013322 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,182.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013322?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 71th, minority 68th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12057013322 considered part of Winthrop?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057013322 fall within Winthrop (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013322?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 749 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013322 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.02% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057013322 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057013322 compare to Brandon overall?
Tract 12057013322 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Brandon at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brandon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brandon
Top eight tracts in Brandon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Sixmile Creek
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Allendale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Sterling Ranch
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Mariposa
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Ventura Bay
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Limona
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Allendale
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Related