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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Capitano Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057003600 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,669 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12057003600 in the Capitano area of Tampa, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,669. 33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 14% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,655
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$37,305

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Capitano
Moderate
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#20 of 104 tracts In Tampa
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 27.9771, -82.4037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Capitano scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,447 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5

How Capitano compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Capitano risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0036004.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 590Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 9.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak (2015)
  • 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057003600
Filings climbed 62% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 356Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Capitano

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $37,305, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.9% against 11.3% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 590 filings here across 11 tracked years. Average gross rent is $1,447, 15% below the Tampa average. The worst year on record was 2015, when 10.5% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 9.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057003600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003600?

Census tract 12057003600 in the Capitano neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057003600?

Median gross rent is $1,447/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003600?

25.5% of residents in tract 12057003600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,669.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 98th, minority 91th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 12057003600 considered part of Capitano?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057003600 fall within Capitano (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 590 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057003600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.50% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057003600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057003600 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057003600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12057003600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 18% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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