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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Capitano Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,669 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10 · range 5.6–5.6

Capitano is a black-hispanic neighborhood in Tampa with 1 census tract and a population of 4,669 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,447/month sits 15% lower than the Tampa citywide average ($1,701).

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Capitano vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.6% +81%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,447 -15%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$37,305 -48%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
25.5% +60%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
36.5% -27%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Capitano and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.6–5.6

Why Capitano scores 5.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
25.5% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Capitano vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Capitano score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Capitano: 5.65.6CapitanoNeighborhoodParent city: 2.72.7Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Capitano

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057003600 5.6 4,669 61% $1,447
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 98%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Capitano

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 590Total filings (sum)
  • 9.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 9.75%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 356Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly observed
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Capitano

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Capitano?

Capitano scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Capitano compare to Tampa overall?

Capitano scores 2.9 points higher than Tampa overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,447 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Capitano?

Average gross rent in Capitano is $1,447/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Capitano residents are renters?

37% of Capitano households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 4,669 residents.
Q5

Is Capitano a high social-vulnerability area?

Capitano sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Capitano for landlords?

Capitano carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Capitano?

Capitano has 4,550 residents (Black-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (56.3%), Hispanic / Latino (29.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Capitano

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Capitano.

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