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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Capitano Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,669 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Capitano is a one-tract neighborhood of Tampa, FL and houses 4,669 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 61% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Tampa rate of 33.5%.

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 590 evictions logged in this tract. At $1,447 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of Tampa commands. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 10.5% of renter households.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Recent filings have not receded much: 9.8% in 2016 against a 10.5% peak. Among the 70 mapped neighborhoods of Tampa, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Capitano vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.6% +81%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,447 -15%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$37,305 -48%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
25.5% +60%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
36.5% -27%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Capitano and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Capitano scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
25.5% below poverty line · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Capitano vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Capitano score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4CapitanoNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Capitano

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057003600 5.4 4,669 61% $1,447
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 99

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 98%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 91%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 90%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Capitano

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 590Total filings (sum)
  • 9.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 9.75%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 356Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.9Avg monthly observed
  • 7.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Capitano

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Capitano?

Capitano scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Capitano compare to Tampa overall?

Capitano scores 1.4 points higher than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,447 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Capitano?

Average gross rent in Capitano is $1,447/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Capitano residents are renters?

37% of Capitano households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 4,669 residents.
Q5

Is Capitano a high social-vulnerability area?

Capitano sits in the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Capitano for landlords?

Capitano carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Capitano?

Capitano has 4,550 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (56.3%), Hispanic / Latino (29.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Capitano

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Capitano.

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