Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Mills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057003700 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 1,236 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
12057003700 is a census tract in the Mills area of Tampa, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,236 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units329
Renter share59.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$41,181
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9573, -82.3895 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mills scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,173 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Mills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 63%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 805Total filings over 11 yrs
- 23.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 32.6%Peak (2009)
- 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 91Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mills
The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.7% against 11.3% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,173, 31% below the Tampa average.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $41,181, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.2 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 805 filings here across 11 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2009 at 32.6% of renter households.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tampa. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 23.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057003700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003700?
Census tract 12057003700 in the Mills neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057003700?
Median gross rent is $1,173/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003700?
25.3% of residents in tract 12057003700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,236.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 63th, minority 80th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12057003700 considered part of Mills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057003700 fall within Mills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 805 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057003700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.74% of renter households, peaking at 32.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057003700 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057003700 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057003700 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057003700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Capitano
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
El Valle de Tampa
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Oakridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Del Rio
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12057000101
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altos Verdes
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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