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Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Mills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,236 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.4–5.4

Mills is a one-tract neighborhood of Tampa, FL, population 1,236. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 49% against 33.5% citywide, putting Mills 15.7% over its own city.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 27%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Average gross rent is $1,173, 31% below the Tampa average of $1,701. Set annual rent against average household income of $41,181 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The filing record is not thin: 805 evictions logged in this tract.

The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 32.6% of renter households. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. Recent filings have not receded much: 24.5% in 2016 against a 32.6% peak.

That places it #1 of 70 neighborhoods in Tampa.

One tract means one number: 5.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Mills vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.2% +47%
Tampa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$1,173 -31%
Tampa: $1,701
Average HH income
$41,181 -42%
Tampa: $71,302
Poverty rate
25.3% +59%
Tampa: 15.9%
Renter share
59.9% +21%
Tampa: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.4–5.4

Why Mills scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Economic stress
25.3% below poverty line · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Mills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Mills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4MillsNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Mills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12057003700 5.4 1,236 49% $1,173
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 91%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mills

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 805Total filings (sum)
  • 23.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 32.6%Peak year (2009)
  • 24.51%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 91Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly observed
  • 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.48×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Mills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Mills?

Mills scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Mills compare to Tampa overall?

Mills scores 1.4 points higher than Tampa overall (4/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,173 vs $1,701.
Q3

What is the average rent in Mills?

Average gross rent in Mills is $1,173/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Mills residents are renters?

60% of Mills households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 1,236 residents.
Q5

Is Mills a high social-vulnerability area?

Mills sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Mills for landlords?

Mills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Mills?

Mills has 1,205 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (36.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (22%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mills.

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