Neighborhood · Tampa, FL

Mills Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,236 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 5.1–5.1

Mills is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Tampa with 1 census tract and a population of 1,236 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,173/month sits 31% lower than the Tampa citywide average ($1,701).

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

Mills vs Tampa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.2% +47%

Tampa: 33.5%

Average gross rent

$1,173 -31%

Tampa: $1,701

Average HH income

$41,181 -42%

Tampa: $71,302

Poverty rate

25.3% +59%

Tampa: 15.9%

Renter share

59.9% +21%

Tampa: 49.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Mills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.1–5.1

Why Mills scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

60% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Economic stress

25.3% below poverty line · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Mills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Mills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057003700	5.1	1,236	49%	$1,173

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 99%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 63%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 91%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Mills

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

805Total filings (sum)
23.74%Avg annual filing rate
32.6%Peak year (2009)
24.51%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

91Total filings 2020-21
1.3Avg monthly observed
2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.48×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Mills

What is the eviction-risk score for Mills?

Mills scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Mills compare to Tampa overall?

Mills scores 2.4 points higher than Tampa overall (2.7/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,173 vs $1,701.

What is the average rent in Mills?

Average gross rent in Mills is $1,173/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Mills residents are renters?

60% of Mills households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Tampa). The neighborhood has 1,236 residents.

Is Mills a high social-vulnerability area?

Mills sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Mills for landlords?

Mills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tampa as a whole (2.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Mills?

Mills has 1,205 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (36.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (34.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (22%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Mills

3.6 Alexandria Place 3 tracts · pop 11,063 6 Alameda 2 tracts · pop 4,832 4.9 Del Rio 3 tracts · pop 14,946 3.4 Sterling Ranch 3 tracts · pop 16,449 5 Arlington Heights 2 tracts · pop 4,994 4.5 Alta Vista 2 tracts · pop 7,746

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tampa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Mills.

5.1 Drew Park 1 tracts · pop 1,041 5.1 Arlington Heights 2 tracts · pop 4,994 5 Florida Avenue Heights 1 tracts · pop 3,223 5 Miranda 1 tracts · pop 5,228 5 Vieux Carre 2 tracts · pop 10,815 5.2 North Tampa Heights 4 tracts · pop 15,343

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