Mora Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $48,365, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.2 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 621 filings here across 11 tracked years. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.9/10.

The worst year on record was 2000, when 11.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.