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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Vieux Carre Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa

Tract 12057011010 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,529 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12057011010 in the Vieux Carre area of University, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 18% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,990
Renter share48.0%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$51,364

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Vieux Carre
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Tampa
Very Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#117 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tampa and the region

Centroid at 28.0920, -82.4201 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vieux Carre scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tampa
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,045 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
1.0

How Vieux Carre compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vieux Carre risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0110104.0Tampaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 818Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 12.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.7%Peak (2003)
  • 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057011010
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 372Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.91×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Vieux Carre. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vieux Carre

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.

The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 818 eviction filings across 11 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,045, 11% below the University average.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 29.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057011010

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011010?

Census tract 12057011010 in the Vieux Carre neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057011010?

Median gross rent is $1,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011010?

24.1% of residents in tract 12057011010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,529.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011010?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 7th, minority 67th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 12057011010 considered part of Vieux Carre?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011010 fall within Vieux Carre (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011010?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 818 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011010 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.96% of renter households, peaking at 29.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12057011010 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.91× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12057011010 compare to Tampa overall?

Tract 12057011010 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tampa

Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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