Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #80,791 of 84,120 nationally
Bowling Green Eviction Risk: Lower , Fort Myers
Tract 12071001402 · Lee, FL · pop 3,198 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
In Bowling Green in Fort Myers, census tract 12071001402 scores 4.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 19% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,400 a month against an average household income of $135,192 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,131
Renter share4.3%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$135,192
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region
Centroid at 26.5871, -81.8871 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bowling Green scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,400 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.9
How Bowling Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bowling Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bowling Green
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lee County average of 4.4 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071001402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001402?
Census tract 12071001402 in the Bowling Green neighborhood scores 1.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071001402?
Median gross rent is $2,400/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001402?
3.4% of residents in tract 12071001402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,198.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 13th, minority 17th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 12071001402 considered part of Bowling Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001402 fall within Bowling Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071001402 compare to Fort Myers overall?
Tract 12071001402 scores 1.3/10, lower than the parent city of Fort Myers at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers
Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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