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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Bowling Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers

Tract 12071001401 · Lee, FL · pop 5,527 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12071001401 in the Bowling Green area of Fort Myers, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 34% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units2,491
Renter share88.0%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate32.9%
Median income$40,478

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Bowling Green
Moderate
Within parent city
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 30 tracts In Fort Myers
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#22 of 222 tracts In Lee
Very High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.5859, -81.8781 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bowling Green scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.9% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,526 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fort Myers
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fort Myers
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fort Myers
3.0

How Bowling Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bowling Green risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 001401Fort Myers: 3.43.4Fort Myersparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bowling Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bowling Green

Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $40,478, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 61% here against 52.2% across Lee County. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.2/10.

Adults with no health insurance runs 22.3% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Lee County average of 3.7.

That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071001401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001401?

Census tract 12071001401 in the Bowling Green neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071001401?

Median gross rent is $1,526/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001401?

32.9% of residents in tract 12071001401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,527.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 97th, minority 81th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 12071001401 considered part of Bowling Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001401 fall within Bowling Green (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12071001401 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071001401 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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