Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Bowling Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fort Myers

Tract 12071001103 · Lee, FL · pop 2,391 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Bowling Green neighborhood of Fort Myers, census tract 12071001103 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. On the national scale it ranks #64,174 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,392 monthly, set against $40,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 42% of income at the averages. Renters make up 79% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 51% Stable renters 27% Owners 22%

Tract context

Occupied units1,018

Renter share78.7%

SVI overall0.85

Poverty rate29.3%

Median income$40,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fort Myers and the region

Centroid at 26.6019, -81.8637 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bowling Green scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fort Myers

3.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

29.3% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$1,392 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fort Myers

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fort Myers

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fort Myers

3.0

How Bowling Green compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bowling Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bowling Green

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lee County average of 4.4 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071001103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071001103?

Census tract 12071001103 in the Bowling Green neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12071001103?

Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071001103?

29.3% of residents in tract 12071001103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,391.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071001103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 93th, minority 60th, housing 96th.

Is tract 12071001103 considered part of Bowling Green?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071001103 fall within Bowling Green (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12071001103 compare to Fort Myers overall?

Tract 12071001103 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fort Myers at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fort Myers eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fort Myers

Top eight tracts in Fort Myers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.