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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

San Carlos Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12071050205 · Lee, FL · pop 1,800

Census tract 12071050205 covers part of San Carlos Park, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 8% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units627
Renter share16.4%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$66,213

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In San Carlos Park
High
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 222 tracts In Lee
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,265 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Carlos Park and the region

Centroid at 26.4780, -81.8340 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Carlos Park scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Carlos Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Carlos Park
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Carlos Park
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Carlos Park
5.9

How San Carlos Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Carlos Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 050205San Carlos Park: 3.73.7San Carlos Parkparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Carlos Park

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $1,269, 26% below the San Carlos Park average. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters.

It tracks the Lee County average of 3.7 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $66,213.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050205

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050205?

Census tract 12071050205 in San Carlos Park scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12071050205?

Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050205?

12.0% of residents in tract 12071050205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,800.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050205?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 21th, minority 65th, housing 65th.
Q5

How does tract 12071050205 compare to San Carlos Park overall?

Tract 12071050205 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of San Carlos Park at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Carlos Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Carlos Park

Top eight tracts in San Carlos Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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