Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally
Osprey Cove Eviction Risk: Lower , San Carlos Park
Tract 12071050213 · Lee, FL · pop 4,743 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
In Osprey Cove in San Carlos Park, census tract 12071050213 scores $1/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,486 a month while the average household earns $76,226 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 45% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,663
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$76,226
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Carlos Park and the region
Centroid at 26.4612, -81.7959 · click any tract to drill in
Why Osprey Cove scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Carlos Park
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,486 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Carlos Park
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Carlos Park
5.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Carlos Park
5.9
How Osprey Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Osprey Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Osprey Cove
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Carlos Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lee County average of 4.4 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12071050213
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050213?
Census tract 12071050213 in the Osprey Cove neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12071050213?
Median gross rent is $1,486/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050213?
18.2% of residents in tract 12071050213 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,743.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050213?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 55th, minority 46th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 12071050213 considered part of Osprey Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050213 fall within Osprey Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12071050213 compare to San Carlos Park overall?
Tract 12071050213 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of San Carlos Park at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Carlos Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Carlos Park
Top eight tracts in San Carlos Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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