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San Carlos Park, Florida eviction risk overview
City brief · 19,159 residents

San Carlos Park, FL

Lee County · Population 19,159

In 2026
Risk score
4.3
MODERATE

43th percentile, Florida.

50-yr composite history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average3.0 Now4.3
10 5 1976 · score 2.0 1977 · score 2.0 1978 · score 2.1 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.9 1990 · score 2.0 1991 · score 2.0 1992 · score 2.4 1993 · score 2.4 1994 · score 2.5 1995 · score 2.5 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 2.9 1998 · score 2.9 1999 · score 3.0 2000 · score 2.8 2001 · score 2.9 2002 · score 3.0 2003 · score 3.0 2004 · score 2.9 2005 · score 3.0 2006 · score 3.0 2007 · score 3.1 2008 · score 3.6 2009 · score 3.7 2010 · score 3.8 2011 · score 3.9 2012 · score 3.7 2013 · score 3.7 2014 · score 3.8 2015 · score 3.9 2016 · score 3.9 2017 · score 4.1 2018 · score 4.3 2019 · score 4.5 2020 · score 5.0 2021 · score 5.0 2022 · score 5.0 2023 · score 5.0 2024 · score 4.7 2025 · score 4.3 2026 · score 4.3

How San Carlos Park compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Lee County
#22
of 42 cities
Moderate
Rank in county — 49th percentileBottomTop
22nd of 42 cities in Lee County for landlord-risky.
Rank in Florida
#568
of 949 cities
Moderate
Rank in state — 40th percentileBottomTop
568th of 949 cities in Florida for landlord-risky.
vs. county · state · U.S.
San Carlos Park risk score vs. peersU.S. avg = 5.0San Carlos Park: 4.34.3San Carlos ParkThis cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg

Key metrics

  • Tenant beats landlord
    17.3%
    / 100 outcomes
  • Timeline
    30d
    filing → judgment
  • Cost range
    $1.3–3.2k
    legal + lost rent
  • Average rent
    $1,715
    28% rent-burdened
  • Renters
    26.4%
    of households
  • Poverty
    9.9%
    2.0% unemp.
Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.6 Regional 4.6 State 1.5 Economic 4.6 Supply 6.9 Rent Control 6.7 Eviction 1.6 Tenant 5.3 Housing 5.9 4.3 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +28.4% (2024)
    4.6
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.6
  3. State political climate
    Florida legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    9.9% poverty · 2.0% unemp.
    4.6
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,715 average · 26.4% renters
    6.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    27.9% rent burden
    6.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    30 days filing → judgment
    1.6
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    26.4% renters
    5.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Carlos Park and the region

Click any city to see its score

Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.3
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.3 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 30d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,715/mo. A contested eviction takes 30 days and costs $1,261–$3,228 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 26.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 19,159 residents, 26.4% rent. 28% are rent-burdened, 9.9% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.6
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.6 and 4.6 (GOP margin +28.4% (2024)). State climate at 1.5 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.6, housing court bias 5.9, rent-control risk 6.7. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.4 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.6
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.6. Supply constraint: 6.9. The numbers behind those: 9.9% poverty, 2.0% unemployment, 28% rent burden.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

San Carlos Park sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Cape Coral, FL · 25d · ~$2.2k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Cape Coral Lehigh Acres, FL · 27d · ~$2.5k all-in ($92/day) · score 4.9 Lehigh Acres Fort Myers, FL · 27d · ~$2.1k all-in ($79/day) · score 2.9 Fort Myers North Port, FL · 25d · ~$2.6k all-in ($102/day) · score 4.1 North Port Port Charlotte, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.4 Port Charlotte Bonita Springs, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.3 Bonita Springs Jacksonville, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 2.8 Jacksonville Miami, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($81/day) · score 4.8 Miami Tampa, FL · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 3.6 Tampa Orlando, FL · 29d · ~$2.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 3.9 Orlando Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle San Carlos Park
San Carlos Park · 30d · ~$2.2k all-in ($75/day) · score 4.3 National median: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in San Carlos Park, FL

Landlording in San Carlos Park, Florida, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The composite eviction risk score is 4.3/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

San Carlos Park is a city of 19,159 residents where 26.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied and rent burden averages 27.9%. At an average rent of $1,715/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How San Carlos Park eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.6/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in San Carlos Park closes 30 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of San Carlos Park's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in San Carlos Park runs $1,261 to $3,228 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 30 days of typical timeline and $1,715/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.3/10 in San Carlos Park, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Florida, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in San Carlos Park: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Florida's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $3,228 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in San Carlos Park

Trap · 5.9/10
For landlords, the 4.3/10 score is most actionable when combined with Lee County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 5.9/10. Standard documentation and prompt action typically resolve cases quickly.
05Peers

Cities with similar landlord eviction risk

05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant for being late on rent by just a few days?

Yes, in San Carlos Park (and all of Florida eviction laws), you can start the eviction process the day after rent is due if it's not paid. Most landlords wait a few days, but legally, if your lease doesn't specify a grace period, you can issue the 3-day pay-or-quit notice immediately. However, most landlords wait for any grace period in the lease to expire before issuing the notice.

Q2

Is San Carlos Park considered a tenant-friendly or landlord-friendly area?

Florida eviction laws, in general, is considered a landlord-friendly state. San Carlos Park reflects this, with a moderate eviction risk score of 4.3/10. There's no statewide rent control (Florida rent control rules) or just-cause eviction requirement, and the eviction process is relatively quick compared to many other states. However, you still need to follow proper legal procedures.

Q3

What if my tenant claims there are repair issues after I serve an eviction notice?

This is a common tactic. Florida eviction laws law requires tenants to give proper notice of repair issues. If they suddenly claim issues only after an eviction notice, it often won't stop the eviction for non-payment. However, it can complicate things. This is precisely when you need to contact an attorney. Don't try to argue legal points in court yourself.

Q4

How long does it take for the sheriff to actually lock out a tenant after I get a Writ of Possession?

Once the court issues the Writ of Possession, you deliver it to the Lee County Sheriff's office. They typically execute the lockout within 24 hours of receiving the writ. They will post a notice on the property stating the exact time of the lockout. This is usually the final step of the eviction process.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.3/10 places San Carlos Park in the 43th percentile of Florida cities on the composite eviction risk index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.