Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Esplanade Golf and Country Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Lakewood Ranch
Tract 12081002019 · Manatee, FL · pop 6,724 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 3.6/10, tract 12081002019 in the Esplanade Golf and Country Club area of Lakewood Ranch, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,724 residents. The severe-burden share is 41%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units3,327
Renter share26.2%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate10.7%
Median income$84,296
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lakewood Ranch and the region
Centroid at 27.4474, -82.4148 · click any tract to drill in
Why Esplanade Golf and Country Club scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.7% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,940 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
6.1
How Esplanade Golf and Country Club compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Esplanade Golf and Country Club
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Manatee County average of 53.5%. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
Average gross rent is $1,940, 16% below the Lakewood Ranch average. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Manatee County average of 4.1 closely.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $84,296. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12081002019
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081002019?
Census tract 12081002019 in the Esplanade Golf and Country Club neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12081002019?
Median gross rent is $1,940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081002019?
10.7% of residents in tract 12081002019 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,724.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081002019?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 7th, minority 38th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 12081002019 considered part of Esplanade Golf and Country Club?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081002019 fall within Esplanade Golf and Country Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12081002019 compare to Lakewood Ranch overall?
Tract 12081002019 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Lakewood Ranch at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakewood Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lakewood Ranch
Top eight tracts in Lakewood Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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