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Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Lakewood Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12081002014 · Manatee, FL · pop 7,778 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Lakewood Ranch

Tract 12081002014 sits in Lakewood Ranch, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 7,778 residents. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Manatee County average of 53.5%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 9% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,761
Renter share13.0%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$135,859

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 10 tracts In Lakewood Ranch
Very Low
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#72 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakewood Ranch and the region

Centroid at 27.4960, -82.3729 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakewood Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,242 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakewood Ranch
6.1

How Lakewood Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakewood Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0020143.7Lakewood Ranchparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 24Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 12.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 34.4%Peak (2016)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12081002014
Filings climbed 267% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakewood Ranch

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.1 points below the Manatee County average of 4.1. The filing record is not thin: 24 evictions over 4 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 34.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081002014

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081002014?

Census tract 12081002014 in Lakewood Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081002014?

Median gross rent is $2,242/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081002014?

2.2% of residents in tract 12081002014 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,778.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081002014?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 12th, minority 18th, housing 42th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081002014?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081002014 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.43% of renter households, peaking at 34.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12081002014 compare to Lakewood Ranch overall?

Tract 12081002014 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lakewood Ranch at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakewood Ranch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakewood Ranch

Top eight tracts in Lakewood Ranch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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