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Lakewood Ranch, Florida eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,372 of 1,861 nationally

Lakewood Ranch, FL Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Manatee County · Population 43,945

In 2026
Risk score
4.7
MODERATE

58th percentile, Florida.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.8 Average3.2 Now4.7
10 5 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.1 1978 · score 2.2 1979 · score 2.3 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.8 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 1.9 1989 · score 2.0 1990 · score 2.0 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.5 1993 · score 2.5 1994 · score 2.6 1995 · score 2.6 1996 · score 2.9 1997 · score 3.0 1998 · score 3.0 1999 · score 3.0 2000 · score 3.0 2001 · score 3.1 2002 · score 3.1 2003 · score 3.2 2004 · score 3.1 2005 · score 3.1 2006 · score 3.1 2007 · score 3.2 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.8 2010 · score 3.8 2011 · score 3.9 2012 · score 3.8 2013 · score 3.9 2014 · score 3.9 2015 · score 4.0 2016 · score 4.0 2017 · score 4.1 2018 · score 4.4 2019 · score 4.6 2020 · score 5.1 2021 · score 5.1 2022 · score 5.1 2023 · score 5.1 2024 · score 4.8 2025 · score 4.7 2026 · score 4.7

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.8 Regional 4.8 State 1.5 Economic 4.7 Supply 6.9 Rent Control 8.0 Eviction 1.1 Tenant 4.3 Housing 6.1 4.7 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +23.5% (2024)
    4.8
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.8
  3. State political climate
    Florida legislature & governorship
    1.5
  4. Economic stress
    7.7% poverty · 3.2% unemp.
    4.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,299 average · 20.0% renters
    6.9
  6. Rent Control risk
    36.7% of income on rent
    8.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    26 days filing → judgment
    1.1
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    20.0% renters
    4.3
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    6.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakewood Ranch and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Lakewood Ranch compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Manatee County
Low
#11 of 14 cities
Rank in county — 23th percentileBottomTop
#11 of 14 cities in Manatee County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Florida
Elevated
#406 of 949 cities
Rank in state — 57th percentileBottomTop
#406 of 949 cities in Florida for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Lakewood Ranch risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Lakewood Ranch: 4.74.7Lakewood RanchThis cityCounty: 5.25.2Countyavg in countyState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.7
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.7/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.6 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 26d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,299/mo. A contested eviction takes 26 days and costs $1,183–$2,996 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 20.0%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 43,945 residents, 20.0% rent. 37% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 7.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.8 and 4.8 (GOP margin +23.5% (2024)). State climate at 1.5 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.5
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.5/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.1, housing court bias 6.1, rent-control risk 8.0. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.9 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 4.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 4.7. Supply constraint: 6.9. The numbers behind those: 7.7% poverty, 3.2% unemployment, 37% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Lakewood Ranch sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Tampa, FL · 28d · ~$2.4k all-in ($85/day) · score 3.6 Tampa St. Petersburg, FL · 26d · ~$2.4k all-in ($94/day) · score 3.8 St. Petersburg Brandon, FL · 30d · ~$2.2k all-in ($72/day) · score 5.5 Brandon Clearwater, FL · 30d · ~$2.1k all-in ($71/day) · score 3.3 Clearwater Riverview, FL · 28d · ~$2.6k all-in ($92/day) · score 5.2 Riverview Plantation, FL · 28d · ~$2.5k all-in ($90/day) · score 4.7 Plantation Town 'n' Country, FL · 25d · ~$2.4k all-in ($95/day) · score 5.5 Town 'n' Country North Port, FL · 25d · ~$2.6k all-in ($102/day) · score 4.1 North Port Largo, FL · 28d · ~$2.5k all-in ($88/day) · score 5.3 Largo Port Charlotte, FL · 29d · ~$2.3k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.4 Port Charlotte Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Lakewood Ranch
Lakewood Ranch · 26d · ~$2.1k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Lakewood Ranch, FL

Landlording in Lakewood Ranch, Florida, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.7/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Lakewood Ranch is a city of 43,945 residents where 20.0% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 36.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,299/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Lakewood Ranch eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.1/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Lakewood Ranch closes 26 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Lakewood Ranch's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 6.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Lakewood Ranch runs $1,183 to $2,996 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 26 days of typical timeline and $2,299/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 4.3/10 in Lakewood Ranch, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.0/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Florida, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Lakewood Ranch: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Florida's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,996 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Lakewood Ranch

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 26 days and roughly $2,996 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,198 to $1,797 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under FS Chapter 83 Part II.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

Can I evict a tenant in Lakewood Ranch without a reason?

No, not if they have a fixed-term lease. You need a valid reason, like non-payment of rent or a lease violation. If it's a month-to-month tenancy, you can terminate with a 15-day notice without cause.
Q2

How long does it really take to evict someone in Manatee County?

The typical timeline for an eviction in Manatee County is about 26 days. This is an average and can be shorter if the tenant doesn't respond, or longer if they contest and a hearing is required.
Q3

What's the biggest mistake landlords make during eviction?

The most common mistake is failing to properly serve the initial 3-day notice or making errors in the notice itself. Any mistake here can get your case dismissed, forcing you to start over. Following the rules precisely is critical.
Q4

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in Florida?

You are not legally required to have a lawyer for an eviction in Florida, especially for simple non-payment cases. However, if the tenant hires a lawyer or raises complex defenses, having your own attorney is highly advisable to protect your interests.
Q5

Can I keep the security deposit if a tenant breaks the lease early?

Generally, yes, if the lease specifies penalties for early termination or if you can prove damages (like lost rent while finding a new tenant). Remember to follow the 30-day notice rule if you intend to claim against the deposit.
Q6

Is there rent control in Lakewood Ranch?

No, Florida has a statewide preemption against rent control, meaning local governments cannot enact it. While the rent control risk score is 8.0/10, this primarily reflects political sentiment and potential for future change, not current law. Keep an eye on Florida rent control rules for updates.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.7/10 places Lakewood Ranch in the 58th percentile of Florida cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.