Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Brownsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12086001702 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,648
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12086001702 (Brownsville, Florida) comes in at $1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 77% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,376 monthly, set against $40,664 in average yearly household income, roughly 41% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,335
Renter share66.1%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$40,664
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Brownsville and the region
Centroid at 25.8181, -80.2446 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brownsville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Brownsville
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brownsville
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brownsville
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brownsville
8.8
How Brownsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 97%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 166Total filings over 2 yrs
- 14.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.2%Peak (2015)
- 61Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 215Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brownsville
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Brownsville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 97% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086001702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086001702?
Census tract 12086001702 in Brownsville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086001702?
Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086001702?
22.2% of residents in tract 12086001702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,648.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086001702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 89th, minority 97th, housing 85th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086001702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 166 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086001702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.03% of renter households, peaking at 21.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086001702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086001702 compare to Brownsville overall?
Tract 12086001702 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Brownsville at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brownsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086001702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Brownsville
Top eight tracts in Brownsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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