Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Vineyards Eviction Risk: Lower , Horizon West
Tract 12095017112 · Orange, FL · pop 18,398 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12095017112 in the Vineyards area of Horizon West, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units5,710
Renter share34.2%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$113,654
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Horizon West and the region
Centroid at 28.4528, -81.5763 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vineyards scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Horizon West
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,317 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Horizon West
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Horizon West
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Horizon West
5.0
How Vineyards compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vineyards
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.
The voucher gap is 18.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,317, close to the Horizon West average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $113,654.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017112
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017112?
Census tract 12095017112 in the Vineyards neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017112?
Median gross rent is $2,317/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017112?
6.5% of residents in tract 12095017112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 18,398.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017112?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 57th, minority 63th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 12095017112 considered part of Vineyards?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017112 fall within Vineyards (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12095017112 compare to Horizon West overall?
Tract 12095017112 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Horizon West at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Horizon West eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Horizon West
Top eight tracts in Horizon West ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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