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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Candlewyck Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando

Tract 12095013405 · Orange, FL · pop 2,582 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 12095013405 covers part of the Candlewyck area of Orlando, FL, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,582. Against Orange County at 51.4%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52% Stable renters 17% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units958
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate25.6%
Median income$43,371

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Candlewyck
Very High
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 77 tracts In Orlando
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orlando and the region

Centroid at 28.5234, -81.2963 · click any tract to drill in

Why Candlewyck scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orlando
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.6% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,572 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orlando
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orlando
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orlando
4.0

How Candlewyck compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Candlewyck risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0134054.0Orlandoparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 304Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 10.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak (2005)
  • 23Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095013405
Filings dropped 36% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Candlewyck. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Candlewyck

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 43% of average household income of $43,371, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 28.5% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Court records carry 304 eviction filings across 9 observed years. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.

Average gross rent is $1,572, 10% below the Orlando average. The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.8% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095013405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095013405?

Census tract 12095013405 in the Candlewyck neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095013405?

Median gross rent is $1,572/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095013405?

25.6% of residents in tract 12095013405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,582.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095013405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 81th, minority 85th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 12095013405 considered part of Candlewyck?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095013405 fall within Candlewyck (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095013405?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 304 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095013405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.77% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095013405 compare to Orlando overall?

Tract 12095013405 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Orlando at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orlando eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orlando

Top eight tracts in Orlando ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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