Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Alcove Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clearwater
Tract 12103026602 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,946 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12103026602 in the Alcove Park area of Clearwater, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,946 residents. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,171
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate40.2%
Median income$76,326
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 27.9713, -82.7595 · click any tract to drill in
Why Alcove Park scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
40.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,324 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
3.5
How Alcove Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 482Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.2%Peak (2004)
- 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 77Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Alcove Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Alcove Park
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 40%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 46% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.
Average gross rent is $1,324, 20% below the Clearwater average. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.2% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
The filing record is not thin: 482 evictions over 18 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 8.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026602?
Census tract 12103026602 in the Alcove Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026602?
Median gross rent is $1,324/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026602?
40.2% of residents in tract 12103026602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,946.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 32th, minority 43th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026602 considered part of Alcove Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026602 fall within Alcove Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 482 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103026602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.58% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103026602 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103026602 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Bayside Court
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbour Towne
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026401
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103026402
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Alcove Park
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Cypress Hollow
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
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