Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Victoria Palms Eviction Risk: Lower , Clearwater
Tract 12103027000 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,941 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12103027000 covers part of the Victoria Palms area of Dunedin, FL, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,941 residents. roughly three in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,560
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$66,050
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clearwater and the region
Centroid at 28.0029, -82.7859 · click any tract to drill in
Why Victoria Palms scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clearwater
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,468 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clearwater
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clearwater
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clearwater
6.4
How Victoria Palms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 964Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2005)
- 35Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 87Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.48×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Victoria Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Victoria Palms
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.9/10. The filing record is not thin: 964 evictions over 18 years of observation.
At $1,468 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Dunedin commands. The worst year on record was 2005, when 7.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $66,050.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027000?
Census tract 12103027000 in the Victoria Palms neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027000?
Median gross rent is $1,468/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027000?
7.5% of residents in tract 12103027000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,941.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 40th, minority 40th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027000 considered part of Victoria Palms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027000 fall within Victoria Palms (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 964 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.08% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.48× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027000 compare to Clearwater overall?
Tract 12103027000 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Clearwater at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clearwater eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clearwater
Top eight tracts in Clearwater ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Spanish Pines
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbor View
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Barrington Hills
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Spanish Pines
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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