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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,321 of 84,120 nationally

Spanish Pines Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunedin

Tract 12103026908 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,178 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 12103026908 in Spanish Pines in Dunedin ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,178 residents. On the national scale it ranks #50,889 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,192 a month while the average household earns $79,940 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 2% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,751
Renter share3.6%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$79,940

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Spanish Pines
Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Dunedin
Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#182 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#3,026 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dunedin and the region

Centroid at 28.0364, -82.7590 · click any tract to drill in

Why Spanish Pines scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dunedin
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,192 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunedin
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunedin
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunedin
6.4

How Spanish Pines compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Spanish Pines risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 026908Dunedin: 2.42.4Dunedinparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 62Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 2.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2002)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030269082000: 6 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2001: 6 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2002: 8 filings (4.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (1.57/100 renter HHs)2007: 2 filings (1.57/100 renter HHs)2008: 4 filings (3.15/100 renter HHs)2009: 3 filings (2.36/100 renter HHs)2010: 3 filings (1.82/100 renter HHs)2011: 3 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (2.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 1 filings (0.36/100 renter HHs)2015: 3 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2016: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (1.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 8Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Spanish Pines. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Spanish Pines

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dunedin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 62 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2002.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.53x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103026908

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026908?

Census tract 12103026908 in the Spanish Pines neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103026908?

Median gross rent is $1,192/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026908?

8.0% of residents in tract 12103026908 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,178.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026908?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 29th, minority 27th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 12103026908 considered part of Spanish Pines?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026908 fall within Spanish Pines (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103026908?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 62 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12103026908 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.18% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103026908 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103026908 compare to Dunedin overall?

Tract 12103026908 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dunedin at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunedin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dunedin

Top eight tracts in Dunedin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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