Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tarpon Springs
Tract 12103027308 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,081 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 12103027308 in the Forest Ridge area of Tarpon Springs, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,081 residents. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Tarpon Springs and the region
Centroid at 28.1659, -82.7546 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 682Total filings over 18 yrs
- 12.46%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.7%Peak (2015)
- 33Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 131Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. At $962 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Tarpon Springs commands. Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened.
The filing record is not thin: 682 evictions over 18 years of observation. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2015 at 15.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $61,953.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12103027308
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027308?
What is the average rent in tract 12103027308?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027308?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027308?
Is tract 12103027308 considered part of Forest Ridge?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027308?
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027308 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12103027308 compare to Tarpon Springs overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Tarpon Springs
Top eight tracts in Tarpon Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.